Invest in Real Estate in Sofia, Bulgaria in 2023
Why Invest in Property in Sofia, Bulgaria in 2023
Bulgaria recorded the highest annual growth in housing prices among EU countries in Southeast Europe (SEE) in the third quarter of 2022, of over 15%, followed by Slovenia. This article looks at why it is a good idea to invest in property in Sofia, Bulgaria in 2023.
Demand for Properties in Sofia in 2023
It is expected that the demand for property will slow down in 2023. The reduced demand is being caused by higher interest rates to bring down inflation and tighter restrictions on granting new mortgages to reduce the risk of default.
Whether this will cause a reduction in property prices is unclear, as inflation is expected to fall in 2023 but there certainly been a stagnation in house price rises.
People may choose to stay where they are or continue to rent in 2023 while they wait and see what happens. This has led to a 10% increase in the number of tenants as many people wait to commence their purchase.
The Bulgarian real estate market is still developing, and unlikely other EU capitals from the former Soviet Bloc, prices are still affordable and haven’t reached their peak.
Sofia is popular for both local professionals and international staff, particularly to support the large number of IT companies in the city. Sofia is now well served by low cost airlines, such as RyanAir and WizzAir, and is very popular for a short get away which has caused a large demand for very short term let, making Sofia worth considering as a property investment option.
Enquiries for the purchase of apartments in Sofia have risen by 15%, but despite this, transactions are still down by 10-12%.
These characteristics could be a good signal to invest I property in Sofia in 2023 as there will be greater availability in the real estate market place in Sofia.
New Construction Plans in Sofia
Rising construction output and labour costs are pushing prices up. The most expensive properties are currently found in the Doctor’s Garden, Izgrev and Yavorov districts, but it is not realistic to find anywhere in Sofia to find new builds below 1,000 Euros m2, even if construction has not commenced on a new development.
Currently there are still a lot of plans for the larger investors to build for the next 3 years but at the same time rising construction output and labour costs are pushing prices up.
Macroeconomic Outlook for Bulgaria
2023 is expected to be difficult for Bulgaria from an economic point of view, but the positive outlook for 2024 is encouraging.
Bulgaria’s economic growth will be negatively affected by several factors:
- Higher prices (driven by energy and food)
- Slowdown in exports due to lower demand for goods from other countries
- High inflation in 2023
Inflation will slow gradually in 2023 and GDP growth is projected to accelerate from 1.1% in 2023 to 2.4% in 2024. But still down from 3.1% in 2022. Energy price inflation is expected to slow and turn negative in the second half of 2023 and then remain negative in 2024.
The labour market will remain tight, in 2023 with a shortage of workers in many areas. In 2022, many employers matched inflation with page rises due to the strength of the manufacturing and IT sectors.
What is Expected in the Real Estate Market in Sofia In 2023
By the end of 2022, as in most European countries, property prices in Sofia had stagnated have stopped growing but the demand for new developments was still present.
During the last 20% the increase in property prices has kept in line with the increase in income so the large recent increase in real estate prices in Sofia are not out of step with affordability.
The Sofia commercial property market in 2023 will be constant with the main buyers being local investors with sufficient funds or being able to obtain favourable credit terms.
Should I Invest in Sofia City centre a District?
If you are looking to purchase in Sofia solely for investment it is better to buy towards the centre of the capital. The highest rental prices are found for properties in the southern and southwestern parts of the city.
Most of the rental properties in the true centre of Sofia are renovated older properties which is great for socialising without having to worry about getting home but these properties are in buildings with no parking and unappealing common areas. Older apartments in the centre of Sofia may turn out to be better investments because they are cheaper and will be very easy to rent.
Many people prefer to rent just outside the centre in areas such as Doctor’s Garden, which has old but updated apartments, renovated parks and restaurants. Things to watch out for is apartments with no lifts or parking and lots of traffic in the streets.
The suburbs at the foot of Vitosha mountain such as Simeonovo, Boyana, or Dragalevtsi are popular among the better off professionals with children and are good for a luxury long-term luxury rent but it can take a little while to find the right tenants. The air quality is much better at the foot of Vitosha mountain and are popular with people who are looking for a healthier lifestyle.
A few kilometers from the centre you will find districts such as Lozenets, Iztok, Manastirski Livadi and Vitosha which offer a good combination of modern, secure buildings close to public transport, office buildings, parks and international schools.
Purchase prices are much lower in the northern, underdeveloped, parts of the city close to the Central Station, where many buildings need renovation but offer an excellent opportunity for investment.
Why Invest in Property in Sofia in 2023
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